Amanda Anisimova vs Naomi Osaka Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second Serve Performance: Osaka has recently won 42.76% of points on her second serve, compared to Anisimova's 39.89%. This indicates a slight edge for Osaka.
• Return Game: In returning, Osaka has a higher win percentage on opponents' second serves at 51.48%, with Anisimova close behind at 47.78%. However, Anisimova leads in returning first serves with 31.57% compared to Osaka's 25.85%.
• Performance Under Pressure: Anisimova shows superior performance under pressure, saving 51.01% of breakpoints compared to Osaka's 42.16%.
• Overall Match Performance: Both players have similar overall match win rates over the last year, with Osaka at 72.92% and Anisimova at 71.19%.
• Surface Preferences: Osaka performs best on hard courts, winning 67% of her matches, while Anisimova excels on grass with a 68% win rate.
• Player Level: On the Masters series, Osaka holds a better win rate of 71.43% compared to Anisimova's 61.9%.
• Head-to-Head History: Anisimova leads their head-to-head record with two victories, with Osaka yet to win a match against her.
• Match Duration: Their matches average nearly two hours, hinting at closely contested encounters.
• Deciding Set Performance: Anisimova has the upper hand, having won the only deciding set between them and also maintains a 67% win rate in deciding sets over the past year compared to Osaka's 60%.
• Pressure Situations: Anisimova's edge extends to extreme pressure scenarios, winning the only tiebreak between them.
• Opponent Quality: Over the past 12 months, Anisimova has faced tougher opponents, with an average rank of 58.17, while Osaka's opponents averaged a rank of 76.94.
• Break Point Conversion: Anisimova is slightly more effective in break point conversion, converting 34.63% of her opportunities against Osaka's 33.61%.

Editorial Prediction (September 5, 2025, UTC):

The matchup between Osaka and Anisimova promises to be closely fought, drawn from their recent statistics. Osaka leads slightly in second serve performance which can be crucial in maintaining service games. However, Anisimova's ability to convert pressure situations into opportunities gives her an added advantage.

Their head-to-head history favors Anisimova, who has consistently managed to outplay Osaka in direct encounters. Her remarkable performance under pressure, particularly in tiebreaks and deciding sets, could make the difference in crucial moments.

Considering these factors, despite Osaka's stronger overall stats and form on hard courts, Anisimova’s proven ability to edge out victories in key moments suggests she might again emerge victorious. The expected outcome leans towards Anisimova securing the win in this matchup.